Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 102.130703 115.994097 131.271608 149.393695 170.351467 193.883037 222.384334
2026-01-04 83.357330 101.759124 123.733091 152.054043 187.799553 231.694145 290.102659
2026-01-11 70.682462 90.755014 116.119034 150.809460 197.465278 258.668937 346.069559
2026-01-18 63.490946 84.945931 113.343345 154.143152 212.018049 292.317506 414.176749
2026-01-25 56.819958 78.677910 108.756079 153.811679 220.703087 318.120615 474.034376
2026-02-01 52.029384 74.282608 105.988451 155.303100 231.615713 347.808447 543.180374
2026-02-08 46.958266 68.842096 100.978455 152.636811 235.553446 366.896823 597.758067
2026-02-15 43.623931 65.575844 98.750067 153.781766 245.275576 395.872516 672.313671
2026-02-22 40.875475 62.892655 97.068107 155.461771 255.828889 427.178727 755.108993
2026-03-01 37.352466 58.641986 92.464342 151.765128 256.712382 441.762629 809.324093
2026-03-08 34.409278 55.053875 88.577101 148.807384 258.406284 457.733023 868.119723
2026-03-15 32.074770 52.260865 85.737735 147.324797 262.468519 478.323111 938.756642
2026-03-22 30.757376 51.264366 86.181874 152.359785 280.399223 529.876448 1086.795322
2026-03-29 29.177387 49.696388 85.528213 155.416022 295.205255 578.053943 1238.464530
2026-04-05 27.136801 47.112751 82.784625 154.159670 301.237040 609.132325 1357.984841
2026-04-12 25.945617 45.942275 82.486868 157.577293 317.208881 663.588631 1543.427364
2026-04-19 24.390540 43.952165 80.445978 157.237634 325.132132 701.480475 1696.158205
2026-04-26 23.204608 42.549055 79.385679 158.766186 337.290721 750.858463 1889.115695
2026-05-03 21.652371 40.306715 76.468713 156.033552 339.465417 776.941921 2025.258192
2026-05-10 20.650134 39.057221 75.418570 157.206981 350.815792 827.189652 2240.560326
2026-05-17 19.781881 38.000727 74.660308 158.928809 363.690023 883.374663 2486.732672
2026-05-24 18.467714 35.933871 71.619222 155.140209 362.558323 902.862794 2625.850761
2026-05-31 17.330254 34.146451 69.021946 152.109076 362.946255 926.542459 2784.228089